Since 2016, the inability of pollsters to acquire a representative random sample has accelerated. I suspected Trump might win because based on my experience in red areas, his appeal to them was being overly discounted in 2016. I do not agree that Hillary was a bad candidate or that she did everything wrong. However, it is difficult to argue against an appeal to authority. We know the majority of voters voted for her, and it is arguable that if just one of a number of things had not happened (Third-party voters not appreciating the stakes, Comey's fake reopening of the butteremails in the last week, Russian interference) she likely would have won the Electoral College as well. If she had won. everyone would have said she was a great candidate.
You wrote: "I do not agree that Hillary was a bad candidate or that she did everything wrong. However, it is difficult to argue against an appeal to authority."
The authority (my daughter), in this case, was smack in the middle of the campaign for weeks. She told me many details about the kinds of mistakes Hillary and the campaign managers made. I don't know much about politics, but even I could see these were egregious errors. Amateur. Easily avoidable. Self-owned, as they say in sports. I do not understand why Bill Clinton did not warn her. Perhaps he did?
My daughter is no longer in politics, but she still lives in DC and she knows many people who still work for the DNC and the White House. I am sorry to say she tells me the Biden campaign is poorly run. I have had some direct contact with the campaign, because they keep asking me for money and then telling me they cannot accept it. They are making other idiotic mistakes and alienating supporters. It is not as bad as Hillary but it is nothing to write home about.
Even if Hillary had won, my daughter and her co-workers from the DNC would never say that Hillary was a great candidate. Not after all the misadventures she told me about. They would have said, "any fool could have beaten Trump." That was somewhat true in 2016. Not in 2020 or 2024.
Since 2016, the inability of pollsters to acquire a representative random sample has accelerated. I suspected Trump might win because based on my experience in red areas, his appeal to them was being overly discounted in 2016. I do not agree that Hillary was a bad candidate or that she did everything wrong. However, it is difficult to argue against an appeal to authority. We know the majority of voters voted for her, and it is arguable that if just one of a number of things had not happened (Third-party voters not appreciating the stakes, Comey's fake reopening of the butteremails in the last week, Russian interference) she likely would have won the Electoral College as well. If she had won. everyone would have said she was a great candidate.
You wrote: "I do not agree that Hillary was a bad candidate or that she did everything wrong. However, it is difficult to argue against an appeal to authority."
The authority (my daughter), in this case, was smack in the middle of the campaign for weeks. She told me many details about the kinds of mistakes Hillary and the campaign managers made. I don't know much about politics, but even I could see these were egregious errors. Amateur. Easily avoidable. Self-owned, as they say in sports. I do not understand why Bill Clinton did not warn her. Perhaps he did?
My daughter is no longer in politics, but she still lives in DC and she knows many people who still work for the DNC and the White House. I am sorry to say she tells me the Biden campaign is poorly run. I have had some direct contact with the campaign, because they keep asking me for money and then telling me they cannot accept it. They are making other idiotic mistakes and alienating supporters. It is not as bad as Hillary but it is nothing to write home about.
Even if Hillary had won, my daughter and her co-workers from the DNC would never say that Hillary was a great candidate. Not after all the misadventures she told me about. They would have said, "any fool could have beaten Trump." That was somewhat true in 2016. Not in 2020 or 2024.
Whatever they might say privately, they would have said publicly that she was a great candidate.