
Most, though not all, of President Joe Bidenās problems can be summarized like so: He is misinterpreting his mandate. Itās not specifically that heās being too liberal/progressive or too moderate/centrist, or moving too quickly or too slowly on this or that policy. Instead, he seems to be misinterpreting the kind of leadership that the country needs.
Although Biden didnāt explicitly adopt Warren Hardingās slogan, āReturn to Normalcy,ā he might as well have. That was the major theme of Bidenās campaign: The crazy times would be over and the normal times would resume. This was a very effective message, as we observed in dozens of focus groups of swing voters in key states.
But that message, like most political slogans, was vague, and what Biden seems to have thought it meant isnāt what the voters who delivered him the White House seem to have thought it meant. The president seems to have doubled down on ānormalcyā in a Washingtonian sense, appointing experienced bureaucrats to senior administration roles, engaging in protracted negotiations with Congress to accomplish policy priorities, and reinstituting such practices as regular press briefings and the Presidentās Daily Brief from the intelligence community.
While all of those developments are welcome, voters donāt really care about normalcy in that sense (even if they should). They care much more about normalcy as defined by Biden in his 2020 Democratic convention speech, in which he thrice identified the āsoulā of the nation as the great contested issue of the election. Voters werenāt looking for procedural normality, but for rhetorical normality. In our hundreds of hours of focus groups leading up to the election, Trumpās reliance on acting officials and his abuse of the pardon power hardly ever came up. His tweets came up reliably.
Voters didnāt choose Biden over Trump because they thought heād be a better manager. They chose him because they wanted him to be a better leader.
Perhaps Biden thought that, after four years of a president who seemed intent on filling every nook and cranny of every citizenās life with ALL CAPS, Americans would appreciate a more reserved chief executive. This would be a miscalculation. Nothing rarely beats something.
Itās not a new observation to say that a presidentās words are among his greatest tools. Theodore Roosevelt first called the presidency a ābully pulpitā in the early twentieth century. His distant cousin Franklin, through the Depression and the Second World War, made presidential broadcasts that were both intimate and informative about matters of the highest national importance. Ronald Reagan was for good reason dubbed the āGreat Communicator.ā As political scientist Richard Neustadt famously argued, āpresidential power is the power to persuade.ā
Yet Biden has so far spoken to the American people both infrequently and ineffectually. (Thatās not to say that heās never given a good speechāhis wide-ranging address to a joint session of Congress in April was a notable example.) He has yet to give a memorable speech as president on a particular subject. Across his career, probably his most famous public utterance wasnāt in a speech at allāit was when, back in 2010, Biden called the passage of Obamacare āa big f**king deal.ā Profanity and decorum aside, he seems incapable of addressing the current cascading crises with the same degree of urgency.
Most obviously, Biden has failed to make a focused, succinct case to the American people about why heās spending so much of his own timeāand forcing Congress to spend so much of its timeāon infrastructure and social spending bills. Whatever arguments could be made for or against particular proposals matter less than the fact that the president isnāt making them clearly, prominently, or effectively enough.
Bidenās communications about Afghanistan were even worse. Rather than announcing his decision to withdraw American forces directly to the American people, the White House delivered the statement via an unnamed āsenior administration official.ā When he did personally address the country as the botched withdrawal was underway, his statements were hard-hearted, uninspiring, and often misleading.
Worse, the president has failed to address the ongoing threats to American elections with sufficient force and focus. Republicans around the country are promoting the crazed notion that the 2020 presidential election (but only the presidential election!) was stolen, while seeking to rewrite laws and intimidate officials with the aim of ensuring that a Democrat will not be inaugurated in 2025, whatever the votes say. Ten months after an insurrectionist mob attacked the U.S. Capitol, the most influential figure discussing threats to free and fair elections isnāt the president of the United States but Tucker Carlson.
Perhaps President Biden doesnāt want to wade more deeply into the fight over voting rights and election administration for fear of appearing to serve only his own electoral interests rather than those of the country. Thatās malarkey. He could point to the strong Republican showing in Congress and in the states in 2020 and insist that those elections are as legitimate as the presidential contest. He could point to elected Republicans, including election officials, around the country who have already shown real political courage by continuing to confirm the truth that Biden won last year. He could emphasize that the people who do the actual counting of votes arenāt Washington politicians or even election administrators, but volunteersādisproportionately little old ladies from down the street.
But President Biden isnāt doing any of that. Instead, heās ceding the field to the conspiracy theorists who have done so much to harm American democracy.
Each of these developmentsāinfrastructure, Afghanistan, electionsāhas been or has the potential to be a political threat to Biden and his party. There are others: the border, inflation, vaccines, climate change. As the president watches his poll numbers disappear below the water line, he must be tempted to do something. Heās done enough. He should say something.
Most of Americaās great (and even some not-so-great) presidents are remembered by their key phrases because words are the primary means by which a president leads. If Biden is to be a successful president, he can weather mistakes and misfortune, so long as he gives voters the leadership they so desperately want. Management is important, but rhetoricāitās a big f**king deal.