Nate Silver is a good statistician and sports analyst. He's done some good things for America. But god help me, the man has the brain of an android.
Past a certain point, he simply does not understand human beings or what drives them, particularly when those things are principles-based.
Never Trump Republicans, pundits and voters alike, are perfectly capable of voting for a Democrat for principled reasons, or reasons that have nothing to do with "outcomes" or maximizing utility, or whatever. Quite a few Republicans voted for the Democrat both in 2020 and 2022, and seem to have vowed to do so until their former party comes back to something they can be proud of. One would think Nate would know this--either he doesn't quite grasp it, or he imagines DeSantis, by the numbers, to qualify as something a Never Trump Republican could be "proud of".
It's only "amazing" for Never Trump Republicans (for quite traditionally Republican reasons) to shun DeSantis for Biden, if politics to you is numbers on a page, or abstract beings from another galaxy. For all his gifts in data and numbers, people like Nate don't always grok politics or people.
Nate Silver is a good statistician and sports analyst. He's done some good things for America. But god help me, the man has the brain of an android.
Past a certain point, he simply does not understand human beings or what drives them, particularly when those things are principles-based.
Never Trump Republicans, pundits and voters alike, are perfectly capable of voting for a Democrat for principled reasons, or reasons that have nothing to do with "outcomes" or maximizing utility, or whatever. Quite a few Republicans voted for the Democrat both in 2020 and 2022, and seem to have vowed to do so until their former party comes back to something they can be proud of. One would think Nate would know this--either he doesn't quite grasp it, or he imagines DeSantis, by the numbers, to qualify as something a Never Trump Republican could be "proud of".
It's only "amazing" for Never Trump Republicans (for quite traditionally Republican reasons) to shun DeSantis for Biden, if politics to you is numbers on a page, or abstract beings from another galaxy. For all his gifts in data and numbers, people like Nate don't always grok politics or people.