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H in WI's avatar

Quick question: Do you think the polls are accurate or not?

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Oldandintheway's avatar

The newest polls are showing that things are tied, and Trump has not been critically examined yet. Everyone who is not a rich, white, straight, male psychopath should be afraid of another Trump administration.

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Clay Banes's avatar

Trump has not been critically examined yet? I find that incredible. Were it true, sure, Biden would have an easier go being reelected.

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H in WI's avatar

Should I take that as a yes?

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Oldandintheway's avatar

The campaigning is really just beginning. Until now, the people who are paying the most attention are political junkies like us. If the media tells the truth about the Republican convention things should swing to the Dems by 10 points. The Republicans will put on a show about cruelty, greed, racism, and oppression wrapped in the flag and the Bible. It should scare the sh*t our of everyone. If it is simply covered as entertainment we could be in trouble.

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H in WI's avatar

I don't find that believable. Trump is a known quantity to most people. No revelation is going to swing a significant percentage of voters.

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H in WI's avatar

So I don't really watch commercial TV, except for a few sporting events. But last week I started streaming the Bear on Hulu, with ads. I estimate I watched 25 political ads. 5 were pro-Tammy Baldwin, highlighting her bringing drug prices down, etc. 20 were warning that Trump wants to become a dictator and suspend the Constitution. The number of ads that mentioned inflation, unemployment, or immigration was zero. I think Tammy Baldwin is in a fine position. I would like to know WTF the Biden campaign thinks it is doing.

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Mary's avatar

Yes. Folks who say the polls are usually wrong are incorrect. The opposite is true. For instance, the polls were largely right in 2022. We disregarded them and believed the hype about the red wave. Bill Kristol in particular is often right, including in 2022. We need to be humble and acknowledge that some people are experts in politics and polling. They know more than we do and it is wise to take heed.

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