I’ve never even bought a lottery ticket I’m so risk-averse with money. Plus I have a soul, tattered and battered as it is, which automatically makes me a loser in capitalism because I am unwilling to exploit others for personal gain. Corporate PACs are an abomination to liberal democracy, but the Citizens United case makes so much more sense when you understand that conservative SCOTUS Justices have been bought.
Here’s hoping we put Allred in the Senate and can get meaningful SCOTUS reform passed into law! Go vote Texas!
I think a lot of the "Nate (Silver) Hate" is kind of overblown. That being said, his relative silence about Polymarket potentially being gamed by MAGA is worth noting. Also, what do you think the odds are that Elon placed a bet on Polymarket to make it look like his visit to PA boosted Trump?
I think Nate knows statistics and polling (his book is a good read), but his punditry sometimes mistakes contrarianism for true criticism. And the comment section on his Substack is a bit “heterodox” manosphere, online right.
This is all incomprehensible. Twitter is not real life, and Polymarket is not a scientific polling operation. Why are there lots of people on Polymarket putting money on Donald Trump? Because Joe Biden’s economy is fantastic, and Harris voters aren’t crypto cult morons.
Sharice Davids is a Kansas Democratic rep! Not from Oklahoma. I know many can’t make the distinction between KS and OK but please remember we also have a Democratic governor in KS. Please pay closer attention to the details and facts in your posts.
As a SF Giants fan, I must hate the Dodgers. It's in the contract, we sign it in blood. When Mookie Betts was traded to LA, he complained to high heaven! Until the Dodgers sweetened the deal. I have joked with my Giants loving friends he should go to NY as Mookie Metts, his face on their mascot. More on point it to reverse the first letters. Bookie Metts. Ex players are now hawking gambling aps. Never learn, how about 1919? Dear God, we are stupid.
I would not recommend sending Biden vitamins or any other consumables. The Secret Service has enough to worry about right now without having to investigate whether some gambling addict is trying to poison POTUS with Flintstones.
I've always heard that betting odds boil down to this, and only this: the house always wins. It does not mean Harris is down or up, and it wouldn't mean the opposite was true. As the magats say: follow the money. Who's got their finger on the scale when it's run by bots? The house. Separately, but related, this is end of Rome shit.
1) Thanks for the links to articles about Rasmussen Reports. I also subscribe to Sheryl Atkisson’s newsletter (it’s a long story), and she cites them all of the time (she very occasionally cites Gallup, but 90% of the time it’s Rasmussen). So I could see how out of step they are with the other polling organizations. I knew that Rasmussen was big-time biased, but I didn’t know the rest of the story.
2) Normally, I agree with the sentiment that you go with the betting markets because those folks can’t afford to be sentimental. But the whole Polymarket thing sounds a lot like Trump Media and Technology Group where people are just investing their money as a sign of support for Trump rather than a sign of good business acumen. At least let’s hope so.
3) I am a big fan of Press Pass so keep up the good work, JP. I appreciate getting the inside story. I appreciate the bon mots. I even appreciate the stories about sneaker fashion (not that I care, but it’s fascinating to me that there are others out there that do).
Thank you, Joe, for your fair & important twice-weekly summaries!
I’ve never even bought a lottery ticket I’m so risk-averse with money. Plus I have a soul, tattered and battered as it is, which automatically makes me a loser in capitalism because I am unwilling to exploit others for personal gain. Corporate PACs are an abomination to liberal democracy, but the Citizens United case makes so much more sense when you understand that conservative SCOTUS Justices have been bought.
Here’s hoping we put Allred in the Senate and can get meaningful SCOTUS reform passed into law! Go vote Texas!
I think a lot of the "Nate (Silver) Hate" is kind of overblown. That being said, his relative silence about Polymarket potentially being gamed by MAGA is worth noting. Also, what do you think the odds are that Elon placed a bet on Polymarket to make it look like his visit to PA boosted Trump?
1/1
I think Nate knows statistics and polling (his book is a good read), but his punditry sometimes mistakes contrarianism for true criticism. And the comment section on his Substack is a bit “heterodox” manosphere, online right.
McDonalds quarter million with cheese …
This is all incomprehensible. Twitter is not real life, and Polymarket is not a scientific polling operation. Why are there lots of people on Polymarket putting money on Donald Trump? Because Joe Biden’s economy is fantastic, and Harris voters aren’t crypto cult morons.
Wait. This sounds like a goodbye. Is this a goodbye? I don't want it to be that. Is this why you haven't been on any pods or videos? What's going on?
I thoughts so too, but, I don't think so...there is more to do even after the election
As a former SEC enforcement attorney, I am always delighted when new ways to part fools from their money arise.
Sharice Davids is a Kansas Democratic rep! Not from Oklahoma. I know many can’t make the distinction between KS and OK but please remember we also have a Democratic governor in KS. Please pay closer attention to the details and facts in your posts.
Pt barnum was right.
Best newsletter in my inbox.
Thanks Joe. Everyone who has ever bet on Trump has eventually lost all of their money. I expect nothing less this time around.
Crypto gambling! Pete Rose must be twirling in his newly dug grave!
As a SF Giants fan, I must hate the Dodgers. It's in the contract, we sign it in blood. When Mookie Betts was traded to LA, he complained to high heaven! Until the Dodgers sweetened the deal. I have joked with my Giants loving friends he should go to NY as Mookie Metts, his face on their mascot. More on point it to reverse the first letters. Bookie Metts. Ex players are now hawking gambling aps. Never learn, how about 1919? Dear God, we are stupid.
Wait I thought US citizens can't legally bet on Polymarket.
I would not recommend sending Biden vitamins or any other consumables. The Secret Service has enough to worry about right now without having to investigate whether some gambling addict is trying to poison POTUS with Flintstones.
I've always heard that betting odds boil down to this, and only this: the house always wins. It does not mean Harris is down or up, and it wouldn't mean the opposite was true. As the magats say: follow the money. Who's got their finger on the scale when it's run by bots? The house. Separately, but related, this is end of Rome shit.
Just a few decades ago it was the dawn of the Age of Aquarius. It's all a matter of perspective.
A few comments...
1) Thanks for the links to articles about Rasmussen Reports. I also subscribe to Sheryl Atkisson’s newsletter (it’s a long story), and she cites them all of the time (she very occasionally cites Gallup, but 90% of the time it’s Rasmussen). So I could see how out of step they are with the other polling organizations. I knew that Rasmussen was big-time biased, but I didn’t know the rest of the story.
2) Normally, I agree with the sentiment that you go with the betting markets because those folks can’t afford to be sentimental. But the whole Polymarket thing sounds a lot like Trump Media and Technology Group where people are just investing their money as a sign of support for Trump rather than a sign of good business acumen. At least let’s hope so.
3) I am a big fan of Press Pass so keep up the good work, JP. I appreciate getting the inside story. I appreciate the bon mots. I even appreciate the stories about sneaker fashion (not that I care, but it’s fascinating to me that there are others out there that do).