

Daniel Patrick Moynihan once described the phenomenon of ādefining deviancy downā ā lowering the bar of what is considered normal and acceptable behavior.
He had in mind the growing acceptance of unwed births, dumbed down educational expectations, and a growing tolerance for crime and other anti-social behavior.
"We are," Moynihan wrote in the mid-1960s, "getting used to a lot of behavior that is not good for us."
But you canāt redefine deviancy without also redefining the idea of normal, which brings us, sadly enough, to our current political moment.
As my colleague, Will Saletan, noted on our Monday podcast, we are now watching the process of defining normality down.
Consider this extraordinary artifact of early 21st Century political/cultural goalpost-moving from Senator Tim Scott on Sunday morning. Appearing on ABCās This Week, Scott was pressed by host Martha Raddatz for a reaction to the $83.3 million defamation verdict against the man he so desperately wants to join on the presidential ticket. A jury had already found that Donald Trump sexually assaulted E. Jean Carroll, and then embarked on a tantrum of lies and libels against his victim. Perhaps Scott had some reaction?
MARTHA RADDATZ: Does that give you any pause in your support?
SCOTT: You know, myself and all the voters that support Donald Trump supports a return to normalcy, as it relates to what affects their kitchen table. The average person in our country, Martha, isnāt ā theyāre not talking about lawsuits. As a matter of fact, what I have seen, however, is that the perception that the legal system is being weaponized against Donald Trump is actually increasing his poll numbers.
To her credit, Raddatz kept pressing him, and thereās a lot more. But letās pause here for a moment to ponder Scottās answer.
Trump was impeached twice, incited an attack on the Capitol as part of his efforts to overturn the election, paid hush money to a porn star, stole and misused classified documents ā including war plans ā and faces charges for racketeering, fraud, and conspiracy. Now a federal court has found that heās a lying rapist, and a jury has awarded his victim a massive verdict.
And yet to believe the Esteemed and Distinguished Senator from South Carolina, Trump should be returned to the White House because Americans crave a return to normalcy.1
I suspect that Dr. Moynihan would like a word.
Saletan also highlighted the moral vacuity of Scottās definition of ānormal.ā
Despite posing as a Christian who stands for values, Saletan notes, āWhen [Scott] says ākitchen tableā, what he means is no moral question matters. What matters is do they make the trains run on time?ā
Where have we heard that before?
Will Saletan: The New Nikki
On our Monday podcast, Will and I discussed Nikki Haleyās new, tougher tone, Tim Scottās denialism, and the GOP cave-in to Trump on the border.
You can listen to the whole thing here. Or watch us on YouTube.
What now for the anti-anti-Trumpers? (Spoiler alert)
Even as Nikki makes her surprisingly robust last stand, the end is in sight. Itās still Trumpās party, and he is within weeks of wrapping up the GOP nomination. The usual suspects will fall into line, while the Never Trumpers will remind everyone that Never actually means Never.
But what of that doughty band of anti-anti-Trumpers, who have spent the last few years wandering in the wilderness of whataboutism? They had hoped that someone like Ron DeSantis might rescue them. Instead, weāre back to 2016, except that everything is so much worse.
So, what will they do now?
Check out this remarkable exchange between Mother Jonesās David Corn and National Reviewās Rich Lowry on the āThe Dilemma of the Anti-Trump Conservatives.ā Corn is not talking about the Never Trumpers (ahem), but rather the conservatives who āsee Trump as bad for the republic, but⦠cannot yield that age-old position (or reflex?) that the greatest threat to the nation is from the left.ā
āThis can tie an anti-Trump-but-more-anti-anti-Trumper into knots. As I witnessed just the other day.ā
I was invited to appear on C-SPANās Washington Journal to discuss the New Hampshire election results. The other guest was Rich Lowry, the editor-in-chief of the National Review, which was once the flagship publication of the conservative movementā¦.
Prior to the 2020 election, NR could not bring itself to endorse Trump, noting he threatened āto drag conservatism down to a consequential and avoidable defeat.ā But it also could not bring itself to state that right-leaning voters should reject this narcissistic, unprincipled autocrat-wannabe by voting for a Democrat. After Trump tried to subvert American democracy and incited the January 6 riot, the National Review held him culpable and concluded he had ādisgraced the office of the presidencyāāthough it still managed to blame āpast Democratic misconduct [that] helped to set the stage for the riot.ā That was rich, but clearly a sop to its readers.
So now what do these anti-Trump-and-anti-libs conservatives have to say about Trumpās crusade to regain the White House?
I only wish the debate was longer, because itās so revealing.
Corn: A few weeks ago, [your National Review] did an editorial basically saying vote for anyone but Trump in the Republican primary. And [it] said that Trump had committed āserious offenses against our constitutional order.ā If itās going to be Trump [as the GOP nominee], Iām wondering where constitutional conservatives like Rich are going to end up here. Will they advocate, in a race against Biden, [that] voters and American should put into office a man who, on their own terms, committed āserious offensesā against our constitutional order?
Lowry: Obviously, we wanted anyone else. [Trumpās] conduct after the 2020 election was disgraceful. It was literally infamous. I donāt think it was a crime, in the way [special counsel] Jack Smith is alleging in that January 6 case, which I think is a disgraceā¦But Joe Biden has legislated on his own in an unconstitutional manner with the [student] loan forgiveness program [and] engaged in serious dereliction of duty at the border. The black-and-white letter of the law says, you come into this country illegally, you should be detained until youāre removed or your case is settled. Heās just letting people in, and heās doing it deliberately. This is a crisis he totally made out of whole cloth by just ripping up all the Trump policies that were working for no reason. And if he had the votes in the Senate, would he pack the Supreme Court? Of course, they would. These are people who believe the Constitution is an endlessly living document that can be totally ignored or reinterpreted to your own reference. So Joe Biden has committed and would commit, if he had the power, serious offenses against the constitutional order.
You see what Lowry is doing here, right? I did, and the exchange continued:
Corn: Are you comparing these things to inciting a riot? This is the biggest case of what-aboutism Iāve ever heard. One guy incited violence that you even note in [the NR editorial] put the vice presidentās life at risk to try to pressure him to do something he should not have done. And [with Biden] youāre talking about policy disputes. There are constitutional disputes all the time. Thatās why we have a Supreme Court.
Lowry: Itās the basic foundation of our system that Congress legislates. The president doesnāt legislate on his own. Thatās the whole point of things. Joe Biden did it with the loan forgiveness program.
Corn: But is that the same thing as inciting a riot?
Lowry: No. Theyāre both bad. And [Trump] didnāt literally incite a riot. I donāt defend his behavior. But if you defend the Constitution, do you oppose what Joe Biden did on the loan forgiveness program? Or is it okay because he violated the constitutional crisis in the way you like?
Corn: With every president, basically on the War Powers Act and much else, you can find an argument they violate the Constitution. Thatās why we have the Supreme Court, and things get resolved there. None of this rises to the level of doing nothing while your own people are attacking the US Capitol. Come on.
At this point, our always-diplomatic host John McArdle politely cut us off, noting, āThis debate could go on for a while.ā That was fine by me, for I figured this back-and-forth had fully revealed the weak gameplan of Lowry and his comrades.
Quick Hits
1. MAGA Has TDSāTaylor Derangement Syndrome
My favorite piece of the day: A.B. Stoddard, in todayās Bulwark.
SOMETHING ABOUT THE KANSAS CITY CHIEFS making it to the Super Bowl has destabilized MAGA. Or maybe it was Taylor Swiftās first appearance at a Chiefs game last fall. Or maybe it was her being named Timeās Person of the Year in December. Or all of it combined.
Addled Trumpers are sounding the alarm. Theyāre not just warning that Swift is out to brainwash Americaās youth into liberalism or theorizing that she and Travis Kelce are in a fake relationship. Now theyāre telling us that the Super Bowl is going to be fixed. Got that? Just as in Donald Trumpās Big Lie, evildoers are conspiring against Trump and his supportersābut this time they are going to steal a football game instead of a presidential election.
2. Trumpās $83.3 Million Temper Tantrum
Mona Charen in this morningās Bulwark:
Instead of Trump being able to turn the trial into a martyrdom opportunity, Carrollās lawyers leaped on his behavior to strengthen their case against him. āYou saw how he has behaved through this trial,ā advised Shawn Crowley. āYou heard him. You saw him stand up and walk out of this courtroom while Ms. Kaplan was speaking. Rules donāt apply to Donald Trump.ā The jury, they argued, would have to return a verdict big enough to bite even a (putative) billionaire, and should send the only kind of message he would understand that he must stop his spiteful, malicious behavior.
Trump was almost certain to be assessed damages over and above the original $5 million judgment from last year, but this whopping punitive verdict was entirely self-inflicted. The very stable genius has blundered as thoroughly as he could in this case. If he keeps up this level of strategy, heās going to have a very tough 2024.
3. The Deeper Reason for the U.S. Militaryās Recruitment Woes
Will Selber in todayās Bulwark:
The list of reasons recruitment is so difficult at the moment could go on and on, but arguably the most fundamental problem involves veteransā views of the military. Veterans are often the militaryās most effective recruitersāespecially of their family members. The American military is predominantly a family affair, with 80 percent of service members hailing from military families. Yet only 63 percent of veterans would recommend enlisting in the military, a 12-point drop from 2019. While the difficulties veterans encounter transitioning back into civilian life and the persistent problems with the Department of Veterans Affairs both contribute to veteransā disenchantment with the military, Americaās humiliating defeat in Afghanistan and the unsatisfying ending (if it can be called that) in Iraq are underappreciated issues. Senior military officials must start addressing the legacies of those wars or risk losing the respect and support of many Iraq and Afghanistan veterans for good.
Cheap Shots
The slogan āreturn to the normalcy,ā was the slogan that famous mediocrity Warren Harding deployed in the 1920 presidential election. It didnāt work out well the first time. As the Smithsonian Magazine notes: āWarren Harding Tried to Return America to āNormalcyā After WWI and the 1918 Pandemic. It Failed.ā
In a lamentable moment in presidential rhetoric, Harding poured out a steady stream of buncombe:
āAmerica's present need is not heroics but healing; not nostrums but normalcy.ā It might have been simpler to end it there, but normalcy was just the first in a series of antonyms that Harding suggested, expressing his goals in the negative: āNot revolution but restoration; not agitation but adjustment; not surgery but serenity; not the dramatic but the dispassionate; not experiment but equipoise; not submergence in internationality but sustainment in triumphant nationality."
Whatever the hell any of that meant.
I find it interesting that anybody thinks Rich Lowery has anything worth listening to since this comment about Sarah Palin back in 2008.
"I'm sure I'm not the only male in America who, when Palin dropped her first wink, sat up a little straighter on the couch and said, "Hey, I think she just winked at me." And her smile. By the end, when she clearly knew she was doing well, it was so sparkling it was almost mesmerizing. It sent little starbursts through the screen and ricocheting around the living rooms of America. This is a quality that can't be learned; it's either something you have or you don't, and man, she's got it."
Seriously people, stop asking Rich Lowery anything unless you first ask him about this ridiculous statement.
"To see what is in front of one's nose needs a constant struggle." - George Orwell
"We are not the crazy ones." - Charlie Sykes
On occasion, a sense of being heavy laden (in the words of the hymn writer) overtakes me about this whole Trump business. Indeed, warding off this feeling is probably what keeps those of us who gather here at The Bulwark coming back to engage in some mutual encouragement. If you are anything like me, you need a boost from time-to-time to fire up the indignation, and to remind us what a colossal attack on what we most value we are facing.
Such a boost arrived for me last night when I saw an interview with the director of a new Frontline documentary. (Democracy on Trial, airs tonight) The director previewed some great Jan6 footage of the crowd in the "rally space" and the much larger crowd outside the magnetometers, along with photos of Trump backstage taking in the images from camera feeds of what was happening. This is when the full import of Cassidy Hutchinson's testimony came flooding into my thick head. "Take the fucking mags away." "They're not here to hurt me." "They can march to the Capitol after this is over." And these images underscore the profundity of the observation that Republican electeds are afraid of their voters.
So, all of you here, please continue in all you do. Collateral to your efforts, you give a big boost to my spiritual health.