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The Opposition

Dems Bet Trump’s Numbers are Gassed, No Matter What

The president hopes the ceasefire with Iran and falling gas prices will help him politically. History suggests otherwise.

Lauren Egan's avatar
Lauren Egan
Jun 28, 2026
∙ Paid
(Photo illustration by Bill Kuchman/The Bulwark | Photos: Getty, Shutterstock)

SINCE THE START OF THE WAR with Iran, Donald Trump has argued that whatever economic pain resulted from the conflict would not only be worth bearing but temporary. Following the June 17 signing of a memorandum of understanding to end the war, he’s been practically giddy about the falling price of gas.

But what if, from a political standpoint, any reprieve at the pump is simply too late for Trump politically?

That’s what Democrats believe.

In my conversations with the party’s pollsters,

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