TX has had so much population growth even since 2018. It's hard to say what the political mix of the newly-arrived eligible voters is (knowing that some growth is from births and from international non-citizen immigration). And most of that growth is in the large metro areas of the Triangle. Most of the large, high-growth suburban counti…
TX has had so much population growth even since 2018. It's hard to say what the political mix of the newly-arrived eligible voters is (knowing that some growth is from births and from international non-citizen immigration). And most of that growth is in the large metro areas of the Triangle. Most of the large, high-growth suburban counties of the big metros (Montgomery County being the notable exception) have trended purple or even blue.
Beto was a flawed candidate, but he did come awfully close to Cruz in 2018 (Cruz is also a flawed candidate, obviously). The Texas Democratic party has done a really poor job of recruiting actually good candidates in recent years, and the national Democratic Party never seems to bring the right messaging to Texas in support of those that are running. The early pro-green messaging from that the Biden administration brought to Texas (that "green jobs" would somehow more than make up for the quantities and wage levels of oil industry jobs) was profoundly tin-eared. To sum up, a fair bit of poor Democratic performance in TX has been due to the Democrats themselves, unable to get their act together and be smart. Maybe the Allred campaign is doing a better job this time.
All that said, make no mistake, the elected Republican leaders in TX are only concerned about winning their primaries and answering to their primary voters. And those voters desire, and honestly demand, that those leaders do whatever is necessary to ensure that Trump and Cruz win TX in 2024. If it does get close (let alone look like the Democrats are winning either race), the leaders will do whatever is necessary to get the "correct" outcome.
TX has had so much population growth even since 2018. It's hard to say what the political mix of the newly-arrived eligible voters is (knowing that some growth is from births and from international non-citizen immigration). And most of that growth is in the large metro areas of the Triangle. Most of the large, high-growth suburban counties of the big metros (Montgomery County being the notable exception) have trended purple or even blue.
Beto was a flawed candidate, but he did come awfully close to Cruz in 2018 (Cruz is also a flawed candidate, obviously). The Texas Democratic party has done a really poor job of recruiting actually good candidates in recent years, and the national Democratic Party never seems to bring the right messaging to Texas in support of those that are running. The early pro-green messaging from that the Biden administration brought to Texas (that "green jobs" would somehow more than make up for the quantities and wage levels of oil industry jobs) was profoundly tin-eared. To sum up, a fair bit of poor Democratic performance in TX has been due to the Democrats themselves, unable to get their act together and be smart. Maybe the Allred campaign is doing a better job this time.
All that said, make no mistake, the elected Republican leaders in TX are only concerned about winning their primaries and answering to their primary voters. And those voters desire, and honestly demand, that those leaders do whatever is necessary to ensure that Trump and Cruz win TX in 2024. If it does get close (let alone look like the Democrats are winning either race), the leaders will do whatever is necessary to get the "correct" outcome.