Once again JVL goes for the "BIG SCARE". A reality check.....
White Christian Nationalism is a loser. Probably today, but certainly in the long run. Just today I saw a Pew polling analysis that predicts in 50 years only half of Americans will identify as Christian. (And that was the high end) Today it is only 64%, down from the low …
Once again JVL goes for the "BIG SCARE". A reality check.....
White Christian Nationalism is a loser. Probably today, but certainly in the long run. Just today I saw a Pew polling analysis that predicts in 50 years only half of Americans will identify as Christian. (And that was the high end) Today it is only 64%, down from the low 90's just 30 years ago.
As we all know, the US in heading for a minority majority society in the not too distant future. Mastriano's base is primarily old, white and rural. Groups that are shrinking. Furthermore, these groups would have overwhelming voted for the candidate with the "R" next to the name regardless of who it was.
I would turn JVL's argument on its head. At 41%, Mastriano is at his high water mark. He is only holding onto the hard core Republicans. He is getting no Dem support and little of the Indy vote. He is cruising for a blowout loss, not on the edge of being a mythical giant sea creature.
1) A lot can go wrong in 50 years. Hell, a lot can go wrong in 10 years. You have to get democracy to the long run.
2) Maybe 41 points is Mastriano's ceiling? But maybe not. I don't think either of us knows. Shapiro is under 50 percent, which is a sign that his support isn't where you'd want it to be if you thought he was heading to a blowout.
Todd Akin finished under 40 percent in MO. Laura Loomer finished under 40 percent in FL-21. I would be encouraged if this race finished at something like 60-40.
But that seems to me, at least based on currently available data, to be a less likely outcome.
The most likely outcome is probably something like Shapiro 52-45.
I want to go along with the Demography as Destiny sentiment but Latinos seem to be increasingly voting GOP, and they are the fastest growing voter group.
Once again JVL goes for the "BIG SCARE". A reality check.....
White Christian Nationalism is a loser. Probably today, but certainly in the long run. Just today I saw a Pew polling analysis that predicts in 50 years only half of Americans will identify as Christian. (And that was the high end) Today it is only 64%, down from the low 90's just 30 years ago.
As we all know, the US in heading for a minority majority society in the not too distant future. Mastriano's base is primarily old, white and rural. Groups that are shrinking. Furthermore, these groups would have overwhelming voted for the candidate with the "R" next to the name regardless of who it was.
I would turn JVL's argument on its head. At 41%, Mastriano is at his high water mark. He is only holding onto the hard core Republicans. He is getting no Dem support and little of the Indy vote. He is cruising for a blowout loss, not on the edge of being a mythical giant sea creature.
Couple things:
1) A lot can go wrong in 50 years. Hell, a lot can go wrong in 10 years. You have to get democracy to the long run.
2) Maybe 41 points is Mastriano's ceiling? But maybe not. I don't think either of us knows. Shapiro is under 50 percent, which is a sign that his support isn't where you'd want it to be if you thought he was heading to a blowout.
Todd Akin finished under 40 percent in MO. Laura Loomer finished under 40 percent in FL-21. I would be encouraged if this race finished at something like 60-40.
But that seems to me, at least based on currently available data, to be a less likely outcome.
The most likely outcome is probably something like Shapiro 52-45.
I want to go along with the Demography as Destiny sentiment but Latinos seem to be increasingly voting GOP, and they are the fastest growing voter group.