****[N]o one in the Democratic party has actually managed to pull together a coalition of Democrats in a not disaster setting since Carter, and even then he only lasted one term.*****
.
Seems to me Obama did exactly what you say no Democrat has done.
****[N]o one in the Democratic party has actually managed to pull together a coalition of Democrats in a not disaster setting since Carter, and even then he only lasted one term.*****
.
Seems to me Obama did exactly what you say no Democrat has done.
By your own reckoning, Obama and Biden both won on account of the crisis that prevailed when they first ran. You seem to suggest that Biden-then-Harris lost because the 2024 Democratic standard bearer was not rising to save the country from a crisis.
That is also true of Obama in 2012, and he won.
Perhaps you mean your analysis to apply in the scenario of non-incumbency and you reached back to Carter in 1976 as the only Democratic candidate to accomplish the feat of prevailing as a first-timet in a non-disaster scenario.
How then do we explain Clinton in 1992? Oh, I know -- Ross Perot.
Seems to me there is little utility in the kind of pattern or rule you suggest. Each race has its own peculiarities and dynamics.
Silver Symposium, you said:
****[N]o one in the Democratic party has actually managed to pull together a coalition of Democrats in a not disaster setting since Carter, and even then he only lasted one term.*****
.
Seems to me Obama did exactly what you say no Democrat has done.
By your own reckoning, Obama and Biden both won on account of the crisis that prevailed when they first ran. You seem to suggest that Biden-then-Harris lost because the 2024 Democratic standard bearer was not rising to save the country from a crisis.
That is also true of Obama in 2012, and he won.
Perhaps you mean your analysis to apply in the scenario of non-incumbency and you reached back to Carter in 1976 as the only Democratic candidate to accomplish the feat of prevailing as a first-timet in a non-disaster scenario.
How then do we explain Clinton in 1992? Oh, I know -- Ross Perot.
Seems to me there is little utility in the kind of pattern or rule you suggest. Each race has its own peculiarities and dynamics.