I like your comment but I feel like it is missing some of what is happening. You identify what was traditionally the 3 most important groups in the Dem party and that you need all 3 but they do not have equal weight anymore and I think the educated professional group is bifurcating. The Dems started losing the working class when Clinton …
I like your comment but I feel like it is missing some of what is happening. You identify what was traditionally the 3 most important groups in the Dem party and that you need all 3 but they do not have equal weight anymore and I think the educated professional group is bifurcating. The Dems started losing the working class when Clinton sold them out to "triangulate" with Reagan's agenda. The pro-wall street wing of the Dems, which were the educated professionals have been ascendant since. More recently a lot of educated youths have come in and they are the very liberal ones, though still technically educated professionals.
It seems to me that at this point a large contingent of the working class believes neither party will help them but at least the Republicans hate the people in the Dem coalition that annoy them so they go Republican. If those people truly aren't bigoted assholes they might ignore the bigotry baiting of the Republicans in favor of policies that truly help the working class but they'll have to actually believe it is more than just pandering with pithy slogans. That would require the dominant faction of the Dem party to make some changes on economic issues and they don't like it.
The wall street Dems' alternative proposal is to hope they can staunch the bleeding with the working class by giving up on liberal social "policies" (more on that below) and replace the younger educated professionals with RINO, anti-Trump Republicans who share their economic views. You point out the first flaw in that reasoning. They assume the younger educated professionals will stay and do all the donating, volunteering, and voting they have done in the past despite being completely rejected. History shows that not enough necessarily will even if the alternative is Trump. But beyond that, over the last 3 elections the RINO's haven't shown up in large enough numbers to replace the losses and the working class people haven't been enticed when they are only offered the lite version of conservative social policies and nothing else. That makes sense because the full calorie version is right there in the form of Trump. Further, the Dem social agenda is already almost non-existant beyond pandering with language and candidate choice. Even Mr. Hope and Change himself, Obama, did not really have a social agenda. Gay marriage became a thing because of activists and the courts, not because of Dem legislators. Therefore, the social "policies" the conservatives hate are just the fact that there are people they don't like in the Dem coalition who they might need to compromise with. That isn't going to change unless the Dems fully disown and possibly even attack the people Republicans deem to be undesirables. Problem is the old-school Dems will completely lose the moral high ground at that point and the large amount of young educated professionals they're banking on voting Dem for no other reason than as an anti-Trump/pro-democracy vote will disappear en masse, not just a few pro-Palestine suburbs in Minnesota. Yet the wall-street Dems have been in charge for 30 years so they still assume everyone will just fall in line with their whims even though they havent for 2 of the last 3 cycles and barely did in the 3rd when everything was tilted in the Dem's favor. I think they're gearing up to make the same mistake again unless there is a bloodbath in the primaries next year.
I like your comment but I feel like it is missing some of what is happening. You identify what was traditionally the 3 most important groups in the Dem party and that you need all 3 but they do not have equal weight anymore and I think the educated professional group is bifurcating. The Dems started losing the working class when Clinton sold them out to "triangulate" with Reagan's agenda. The pro-wall street wing of the Dems, which were the educated professionals have been ascendant since. More recently a lot of educated youths have come in and they are the very liberal ones, though still technically educated professionals.
It seems to me that at this point a large contingent of the working class believes neither party will help them but at least the Republicans hate the people in the Dem coalition that annoy them so they go Republican. If those people truly aren't bigoted assholes they might ignore the bigotry baiting of the Republicans in favor of policies that truly help the working class but they'll have to actually believe it is more than just pandering with pithy slogans. That would require the dominant faction of the Dem party to make some changes on economic issues and they don't like it.
The wall street Dems' alternative proposal is to hope they can staunch the bleeding with the working class by giving up on liberal social "policies" (more on that below) and replace the younger educated professionals with RINO, anti-Trump Republicans who share their economic views. You point out the first flaw in that reasoning. They assume the younger educated professionals will stay and do all the donating, volunteering, and voting they have done in the past despite being completely rejected. History shows that not enough necessarily will even if the alternative is Trump. But beyond that, over the last 3 elections the RINO's haven't shown up in large enough numbers to replace the losses and the working class people haven't been enticed when they are only offered the lite version of conservative social policies and nothing else. That makes sense because the full calorie version is right there in the form of Trump. Further, the Dem social agenda is already almost non-existant beyond pandering with language and candidate choice. Even Mr. Hope and Change himself, Obama, did not really have a social agenda. Gay marriage became a thing because of activists and the courts, not because of Dem legislators. Therefore, the social "policies" the conservatives hate are just the fact that there are people they don't like in the Dem coalition who they might need to compromise with. That isn't going to change unless the Dems fully disown and possibly even attack the people Republicans deem to be undesirables. Problem is the old-school Dems will completely lose the moral high ground at that point and the large amount of young educated professionals they're banking on voting Dem for no other reason than as an anti-Trump/pro-democracy vote will disappear en masse, not just a few pro-Palestine suburbs in Minnesota. Yet the wall-street Dems have been in charge for 30 years so they still assume everyone will just fall in line with their whims even though they havent for 2 of the last 3 cycles and barely did in the 3rd when everything was tilted in the Dem's favor. I think they're gearing up to make the same mistake again unless there is a bloodbath in the primaries next year.