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Poliorcetes's avatar

Some quick hypothesis about magical thinking in an organization.

1. Can you learn from mistakes or do you have to invent reasons for failures.

2. How is real news treated vs happy news. How you treat your bearers of information creates a feedback loop.

3. Do you have unrealistic understanding of your side? Does your people being Supermen and the enemy being literally retarded affect your assumptions?

4. Is anyone paying attention the the plans or are these just documents that someone needs to have filled out with whatever they dreamed up last night?

These were all incredibly successful (up to a point) leaders, so something they did was counteracting or mitigating the magical aspects. So when and why did that change?

Why was Stalin more successfully pragmatic than Hitler? Because they both were pragmatic, yet only one was "successful" long term

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