I’m not sure that I agree with that. He sounds more anti-anti- than RVAT. I say that bc most RVATs aren’t comparing Biden to Carter, but rather GHWB. And if Biden loses, I think Bush 41 is the more on point comparator.
Actually, in terms of opinion and mood, the more apposite analogue is Truman, not Carter. Now, the caveat, there, is that…
I’m not sure that I agree with that. He sounds more anti-anti- than RVAT. I say that bc most RVATs aren’t comparing Biden to Carter, but rather GHWB. And if Biden loses, I think Bush 41 is the more on point comparator.
Actually, in terms of opinion and mood, the more apposite analogue is Truman, not Carter. Now, the caveat, there, is that the party system was different in 1948, but that’s also true of 1980.
My optimism is rooted in two things. First, that. But secondly, I don’t see a lot of people who voted for Biden going back to Trump. And I think Trump voters are dying off. And new voters are more blue than red. Also, though he can win the EC without winning the popular vote, Trump keeps topping out around 46%, and that’s true even in many of the swing states.
I just don’t see him getting much north of the Dukakis line in the popular vote- and that makes winning the EC really hard, even w the advantage it gives him. And if there are new Trump voters it beats me as to where they’re coming from. Bc his coalition isn’t getting any younger, and the youngs DESPISE the GOP.
I’m not sure that I agree with that. He sounds more anti-anti- than RVAT. I say that bc most RVATs aren’t comparing Biden to Carter, but rather GHWB. And if Biden loses, I think Bush 41 is the more on point comparator.
Actually, in terms of opinion and mood, the more apposite analogue is Truman, not Carter. Now, the caveat, there, is that the party system was different in 1948, but that’s also true of 1980.
My optimism is rooted in two things. First, that. But secondly, I don’t see a lot of people who voted for Biden going back to Trump. And I think Trump voters are dying off. And new voters are more blue than red. Also, though he can win the EC without winning the popular vote, Trump keeps topping out around 46%, and that’s true even in many of the swing states.
I just don’t see him getting much north of the Dukakis line in the popular vote- and that makes winning the EC really hard, even w the advantage it gives him. And if there are new Trump voters it beats me as to where they’re coming from. Bc his coalition isn’t getting any younger, and the youngs DESPISE the GOP.
As JVL would say, "from your lips to god's ears"