It isn't really a prisoner's dilemma.
The first issue is that the rewards and punishments are unclear and uncertain. There may not even be any, depending upon what happens.
The second issue is that the "prisoners" ARE in communication with each other.
These two issues render a "prisoner's dilemma" analysis of the situation pointless.
Also, …
Also, neither of the prisoners are rational actors--particularly Trump.
As with most game theory models or ethical thought experiments, the reality is so divorced from the model/experiment as to render it useless.
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It isn't really a prisoner's dilemma.
The first issue is that the rewards and punishments are unclear and uncertain. There may not even be any, depending upon what happens.
The second issue is that the "prisoners" ARE in communication with each other.
These two issues render a "prisoner's dilemma" analysis of the situation pointless.
Also, neither of the prisoners are rational actors--particularly Trump.
As with most game theory models or ethical thought experiments, the reality is so divorced from the model/experiment as to render it useless.