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Elliott Pearce's avatar

I agree with JVL that the Abramson article is too pessimistic in some ways. don’t think Putin can wait until 2025 to have Trump break NATO for him. He’s burning through men and money too fast. I think he needs a solution in months.

Here comes MY pessimism, though. The more I think about this, the more likely it is that Putin uses a nuclear weapon.

He needs to win fast. This means he either needs to knock Ukraine or NATO out of the fight. Now that NATO is putting up a united front, messing with them will just trigger a proportional response. This would expand the conflict rather than end it.

What will we do if Putin nukes Kharkiv, tells Zelensky to surrender or Kyiv is next, and says that any NATO intervention in Ukraine will be met with an immediate nuclear response?

Zelensky will probably surrender to prevent Putin from exterminating his nation. NATO will probably not do anything because Ukraine is not a NATO member and we don’t want to trigger an immediate nuclear exchange. Putin would then have what he wants!

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Craig Butcher's avatar

Regrettably He only has to outlast the death of the last Ukranian patriot. If I were Putin I would do everything I can to exterminate all the people in Ukraine who could oppose me, and when Trump takes office again move against Moldova, if I haven't already, or else the Baltics.

The world has changed. We aren't at peace any longer nor will we be for decades. This is WWII but beyond that it's the 30 years warI It won't stop with Putin's demise any more than it will stop when Trump perishes. It's not between nation states any longer. It's Nation states tearing themselves apart.

I feared this for my children but I agreed to have them anyway to please my wife. I love them so much,. What a patrimony.

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