

āI am human. Politicians are human. We give all that we can, for as long as we can, and then itās time.ā ā New Zealand Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern
Happy Friday.
The news gods have been very, very good to us this week. And weāll get to the latest George-Santos-was-actually-a-drag-queen story in a minute.
But letās start with our looming political reality check. The country has hit its debt limit, and the House GOP seems intent on pushing us into a full-fledged financial crisis cum government shutdown.
What could go wrong? Since clearly we have sane, sober, responsible leaders at the wheel.
I kid.
**
ICYMI yesterday, Kevin McCarthy continued to pay the bill for the deals he made to secure his gavel. This includes giving plum committee assignments to members of the chaos caucus ā a menagerie of fringe-dwelling conspiracy theorists, election deniers, white nationalist sympathizers, and performative extremists.
Ladies and gentlemen, I give you the new faces of the GOPās endless investigations. Via the NYTās Annie Karni:
Several of the most extreme Republicans in Congress and those most closely allied with Mr. Trump have landed seats on the Oversight and Accountability Committee, the main investigative organ in the House. From that perch, they are poised to shape inquiries into the Biden administration and to serve as agents of Mr. Trump in litigating his grievances as he plots his re-election campaign.
Their appointments are the latest evidence that the new Republican majority is driven by a hard-right faction that has modeled itself in Mr. Trumpās image, shares his penchant for dealing in incendiary statements and misinformation, and is bent on using its newfound power to exact revenge on Democrats and President Biden.
Many of the panelās new Republican members ā including Representatives Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia, Paul Gosar of Arizona, Lauren Boebert of Colorado and Scott Perry of Pennsylvania ā are among Mr. Trumpās most devoted allies in Congress. Their appointments underscore that, while the former president may be a shrunken presence in the current political landscape, he still exerts much control over the base of his partyā¦
The Biden White House is reportedly delighted by the picks, seeing them as āideal figureheads for a White House eager to deride the opposition party as unhinged.ā When McCarthyās picks were announced, āthe presidentās aides sent texts to one another with digital high fives and likened their apparent luck to drawing an inside straight. One White House ally called it a āpolitical gift.āā
āThe English language runs out of adjectives to describe the debasement, cynical debasement of the whole process these appointments represent,ā Rep. Gerry Connolly (D-Va.), a senior Oversight panel member, said in an interview. āAnd it is, I think, a huge black mark on Kevin McCarthy.
Of course, a clown with a flamethrower still has a flamethrower, but itās going to be impossible for Americans not to notice the bright red noses and floppy shoes of McCarthyās new crew.
This was, of course, McCarthyās choice. And these are going to be the new faces of the GOP for the next two years.
Along with this guy.
**
This is also a choice: āRepublicans Are Giving Democrats A Belated But Huge Christmas Present.ā
Another promise that McCarthy made was to hold a vote on a proposal called the Fair Tax, which is basically a 30% national sales tax.
Our colleague Jim Swift explained:
The Fair Tax Act would replace income, payroll, gift, corporate, and death taxes with a federal consumption (sales) tax. To ensure that the legislation actually replaces rather than adds to existing taxes, the bill includes a provision that the new tax would expire in seven years if the Sixteenth Amendment, which allows for federal income taxes, is not repealed. (Keen-eyed readers will notice that this creates the bizarre possibility of federal tax revenue going down to zero after seven years, if income taxes are not collected but the Sixteenth Amendment remains on the books.)
In other words, the whole idea is fiscally and politically preposterous. As Swift reported: āThe Fair Tax idea has never really had any serious support because itās not a serious proposal, but a bit of niche talk-radio kitsch from a generation ago.ā
But My Kevin is about to make it a marquee GOP initiative. And this is also a choice. A Real Man of Political Genius, he is not.
Itās a lose-lose situation: Vote yes, and the House Republican Conference looks frivolous, to say nothing of the messaging gift they would give Democratic speechwriters in 2024 (āRepublicans want to instate a 30-plus percent federal sales tax!ā). Vote no, and invite primaries by far-right candidates who will accuse you of siding with Democrats when given a chance to abolish the IRS. Thereās a reason Republicans have never brought any of the previous versions of the Fair Tax to a vote before.
But before we get the Fair Tax, Kevin will be crashing the government over the debt ceilingā¦
So this is going well.
**
ICYMI: I had some thoughts.

The Bulwark Did L.A.
Fantastic turnout last night for our latest Bulwark live event. JVL, Sarah, and Tim rocked the house with their guest, former Obama speechwriter Jon Favreau.
Favreau was one of the savviest early observers of the Trump style.
From my book, āHow The Right Lost Its Mindā:
Favreau ārecognized that Trumpās candidacy was the apotheosis of right-wing media culture. In an essay entitled āLongtime Listener, First-Time Candidate,ā Favreau pinpointed Trumpās central appeal to the talkers: āHe won by doing a fairly good impression of a right-wing media celebrity.āā
Every issue, every conspiracy, every applause line has been ripped from their websites, radio shows, and television programs. Itās why he became Americaās most prominent birther. Itās why he floated rumors that Ted Cruzās dad killed JFK, and that Hillary Clinton killed Vince Foster. Itās why he talks the way he does about Mexicans and Muslims and women and African Americans. Itās why heās been able to get away with knowing little to nothing about policy or government or world affairsā because Trump, like any good talking head, only speaks in chyrons and clauses and some-people-are-sayings
Favreau noted that Trump had learned some key lessons from studying the Right media:
These outlets have long been labeled the āconservative media,ā but they donāt spend much time discussing tax cuts, free trade, entitlement reform, or school choice. Theyāre not weighing market-based solutions to urban poverty or debating the future of neoconservative foreign policy. . . . They have a lot more in common with the National Enquirer than they do with the National Review
Since then, of course, everything has gotten worse, and the center of the eight-wing ecosystem has shifted from talk-radio to Tucker Carlson. But Trumpās style remains unchanged.
Return of the Normies?
Are establishment Republicans about to make a come back? Maximum skepticism is, as usual, warranted, but over at Axios Josh Kraushaar reports:
Ohio state Sen. Matt Dolan, whose family owns the Cleveland Guardians baseball team, on Tuesday became the first Republican to announce he would challenge Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) in 2024. He ran as the most moderate candidate in the 2022 GOP Senate field, finishing in third place.
West Virginia Gov. Jim Justice, a former Democrat, has been publicly teasing the possibility of challenging Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.). Rep. Alex Mooney (R-W.Va.), a member of the MAGA-oriented Freedom Caucus, is already in the raceā¦
Businessman David McCormick, who narrowly lost to Oz in Pennsylvania's Senate race in 2022, is already mulling a comeback bid. He's publishing a book in March, "Superpower in Peril: A Battle Plan to Renew America," in a bid to burnish his political resume.
Perhaps the most interesting contest of all may be brewing in Indiana:
Former Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, who just left his presidential perch at Purdue University, is expressing serious interest in running for the Senate. If he jumped in, it would set up a MAGA-vs.-establishment clash against Rep. Jim Banks (R-Ind.), a Trump ally who announced his own candidacy Tuesday.
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Meanwhile, watch this space. āCan Trump Count on Evangelicals in 2024? Some Leaders Are Wavering.ā
On Sunday, the Rev. Robert Jeffress, a longtime supporter of Donald J. Trump who has yet to endorse his 2024 White House bid, shared the stage at his Dallas megachurch with one of the former presidentās potential rivals next year: former Vice President Mike Pence.
The next day, Mr. Trump lashed out at Pastor Jeffress and other evangelical leaders he spent years courting, accusing them of ādisloyaltyā and blaming them for the partyās disappointing performance in the 2022 midterm elections.
We need to put this in some context. Itās worth noting that Pastor Jeffress thinks Islam is evil, Mormons belong to a cult, Catholicism is a product of Satan's genius and 'gay is not OK.'
Trump chose Jeffress to pray at the opening of the American embassy in Jerusalem, despite the fact that he has said that Jews are going to Hell.
āNot only do religions like Mormonism, Islam, Judaism, Hinduism ā not only do they lead people away from the true God, they lead people to an eternity of separation from God in hell,ā Mr. Jeffress said. āHell is going to be filled with good religious people who have rejected the truth of Christ.ā
But, clearly, there is now trouble in parade.
Quick Hits
1. At Soledar, the Battle of the Damned
Recruited convicts become the face of Russiaās war while the world rallies for more aid to Ukraine. Cathy Young has the latest in todayās Bulwark:
At the start of 2023, Russia is cementing its status as a totalitarian terrorist state. It is about to repeal (retroactively, no less) all of its agreements with the Council of Europe, including membership in the Convention on the Protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms. Its citizens are being arrested for commemorating the Dnipro attack by laying flowers at public monuments to Ukrainian writers. Its lawmakers are discussing measures to strip emigres and expatriates who criticize the war and the state of their property in Russia, prompting a very Russian moment of dark humor from self-exiled poet and essayist Dmitry Bykov: āIt makes sense. If murderers are being sent to war to expiate their crimes with bloodshed, perhaps burglars and robbers can be dispatched to earn their pardon by breaking into our apartments.ā
The Putin regime is scoring impressive victories in killing off the remnants of post-Soviet civil society in Russia. The world must make sure it achieves no victories outside its borders.
2. New species discovered: Republicans who (sometimes) care about deficits
The Wapoās Catherine Rampell writes:
Breaking scientific news: Researchers have identified a previously unknown species in D.C. Like cicadas, this species stays underground for years at a time, typically in four- or eight-year intervals. Its members hide away until there is an auspicious change in the ecosystem. Then, they bust out and wreak havoc.
This species: Republicans who care about deficits.
From 2017 through early 2021, members of the species lay dormant. Coincidentally, though, a nearly identical-looking sister species, Republicans who love debt, ruled Capitol Hill in their stead. With unified control of the House, Senate and White House, these debt-loving Republicans gleefully spilled red ink across the nationās capital and beyond.
The GOPās budgetary bloodletting began with a 2017 tax cut that cost $1.8 trillion. Their fiscal rampage then continued over the next few years, mostly on the other side of the ledger. In fact, between 2017 and early 2020, President Donald Trump added roughly as much to deficits through new spending as through tax cuts, appending his signature to more than $2 trillion in unfunded spending program expansions, according to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget.
3. Judge Orders Trump and Lawyer to Pay Nearly $1 Million for Bogus Suit
āThis case should never have been brought,ā U.S. District Judge Donald M. Middlebrooks wrote in a 46-page ruling. āIts inadequacy as a legal claim was evident from the start. No reasonable lawyer would have filed it. Intended for a political purpose, none of the counts of the amended complaint stated a cognizable legal claim.ā
Itās time for President Biden to go on primetime national TV and give a speech from the Oval Office.
He has to excoriate the House Republicans for being terrorists, and wanting to destroy the government rather than doing their job of legislating. He should include the following points.
ā The US is obligated to pay its debts. Itās the way we do business with ourselves and the world. Without trust, our economy will collapse.
ā Itās clear these Republicans canāt be trusted. Many of them actively tried to illegally overturn an election.
ā Most of this deficit was created under Trump with the Republican tax cut. They can raise taxes on those who benefited if they want to have an honest solution. Note that they never cared about overspending under any Republican administration.
ā They seem to have learned their economic policies from how Trump ran his business ā going bankrupt without regard to who it hurts, ruining trust, while blaming others.
ā These people seem to have no idea how to legislate, and no interest in learning. They are advocating ridiculous positions that will hurt all Americans, such as getting rid of Social Security, Medicare, and healthcare.
ā They are irrational, and impossible to deal with as they donāt seem to care about the consequences of their actions. They just want to get on TV and raise money.
ā They are difficult to deal with because we donāt even know who they are. Some canāt even tell us where they worked or how they raised their money. Many are closely associated with white supremacy groups, the same groups that have been convicted of sedition.
ā The country needs to tell these people that they swore an oath to the Constitution, not to chaos and secret wealthy donors.
Biden has to do this with a caring, firm tone. He has to start now, and keep hammering away at it so that the country knows who is creating this useless crisis.
I hope he doesnāt look too old and staggering while doing it.
I sincerely hope the circus does indeed turn off voters. But I know those captivated by the Fox News bubble will not change their colors. All theyāll say is democrats are worse, not matter how bad (R)s are, the (D)s will always represent something worse in their mind.
As long as that is our reality, the carnival of chaos caucus is here to remind us (daily apparently) why we canāt have nice things.