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Reagan Bush Republican's avatar

That is certainly a viable analysis. We'll probably never know which of us is right.

That said, I do think Kamala is basically incompetent, and that she sucks at politics. This was evidenced during her 2019 campaign and unpopular vice presidency. That said, given the circumstances, I admit she was a part of a pretty damn good campaign, run by the Biden experts/team that won in 2020. They might have beaten Trump again, had they had a decent candidate and more time. She played her part well. She did what she was told. Kept her head down at first, stayed out of the spotlight, and let the "vibe" do its thing. The party was just so relieved to have a candidate that could campaign, her numbers couldn't help but improve. She didn't do a press conference for weeks after she was nominated. They protected her. In commercials, she ran as a moderate, never mentioning any of the woke positions she had taken in 2019. She gave a decent convention speech, and she beat the hell out of Trump in the debate (a really low-bar accomplishment, but it's something).

But, she couldn't hide forever, and she couldn't run against herself (and her 2019 positions). In the end, the vibe receded, and she was left with the public perception of herself from her "failed" vice presidency. Fair of not, her vice presidency was massacred in the media for four years. By November, she was leaking oil badly from all cylinders. Her polls were deteriorating, and that is when the unthinkable of losing the popular vote began to become a reality. Her campaign has since admitted that they never saw internal polling suggesting she could win. Had she had more time, I think she would have lost worse.

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Phillip Murphy's avatar

Think of it this way, if she’d been incompetent 2024 would’ve been a wipeout. 1984 plus Congress and a bunch of governorships.

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