OK I shouldn't have said hiding, that was unfair. What I mean is that he can't continue to simply govern like he has been, he now has to start campaigning which means a lot more speaking, a lot more attention on his speeches, and a lot more opportunities for flubs. He's lost all benefit of the doubt with the debate.
OK I shouldn't have said hiding, that was unfair. What I mean is that he can't continue to simply govern like he has been, he now has to start campaigning which means a lot more speaking, a lot more attention on his speeches, and a lot more opportunities for flubs. He's lost all benefit of the doubt with the debate.
Of course Biden is infinitely better than Trump, but the best candidate doesn't always win. Trump appears healthier and more vigorous, and that registers with voters' feelings, which are much more important to most low-information voters than legislative accomplishments, unfortunately. Those low information undecided voters are the ones he needs to win over. He's already got the Democratic base on his side, but that's only 1/3 of the electorate.
The partisan identification of registered voters is now evenly split between the two major parties: 49% of registered voters are Democrats or lean to the Democratic Party, and a nearly identical share – 48% – are Republicans or lean to the Republican Party.
Those who lean Democrat aren't necessarily going to vote for a Democrat, a lot of these people are low information voters who don't think about politics on a daily basis. They don't know about Biden's accomplishments because for whatever reason he and his team either can't effectively communicate them or the people are just in a "throw out the incumbent" mood and accomplishments don't matter. They see the choice as between a frail old man and a less frail clown. Many of them will sit out the election.
OK I shouldn't have said hiding, that was unfair. What I mean is that he can't continue to simply govern like he has been, he now has to start campaigning which means a lot more speaking, a lot more attention on his speeches, and a lot more opportunities for flubs. He's lost all benefit of the doubt with the debate.
Of course Biden is infinitely better than Trump, but the best candidate doesn't always win. Trump appears healthier and more vigorous, and that registers with voters' feelings, which are much more important to most low-information voters than legislative accomplishments, unfortunately. Those low information undecided voters are the ones he needs to win over. He's already got the Democratic base on his side, but that's only 1/3 of the electorate.
The partisan identification of registered voters is now evenly split between the two major parties: 49% of registered voters are Democrats or lean to the Democratic Party, and a nearly identical share – 48% – are Republicans or lean to the Republican Party.
Those who lean Democrat aren't necessarily going to vote for a Democrat, a lot of these people are low information voters who don't think about politics on a daily basis. They don't know about Biden's accomplishments because for whatever reason he and his team either can't effectively communicate them or the people are just in a "throw out the incumbent" mood and accomplishments don't matter. They see the choice as between a frail old man and a less frail clown. Many of them will sit out the election.
Pew finds that independents generally vote the way they lean. there are only about 7% true independents, but they could give trump the WH.