3) Voting is largely non-rational and is based primarily on identity and how you feel things are going at the moment (not on how you think the other side would do)--and this is a FEELING, it is usually not data based;
3) polls much more than 90 days out from the actual election are actually kind of shite, because they lack the same context and events may play out in unexpected ways.
Polls have lost whatever value they once had. Does anyone, except the media, actually give a damn about them? Their questions are meaningless in any real context, tend to biased one way or another, and, whether they admit it, people lie. I've gotten a few in the mail and barely managed to resist the temptation to troll them. Instead, I ignore them.
I have worked with polling in the past (both creating and interpreting them). They still have value. The problem is that most people do not really understand polling and the media tends to misuse polling, compounding the error.
It would be better if they did not whip out a poll to support a point or argument. Polls aren't REALLY intended for that--they don't present that type of data in most cases unless very constrained and carefully constructed.
When voters are the type that think Trump should be tried for treason, but they would still vote for him over Biden...we are in dark territory. I would go back to bed, but I just made it so don't want to mess it up...
The chihuahua has started sleeping on the bed when I'm not home. :-) The 15-yr-old dachshund just sleeps under layers of blankets in his bed. I doubt he knows if I'm gone!
There's a new poll out there that shows Trump beating Biden in 2024. I think I'll go back to bed - the day is already too depressing.
You need to remember that:
1) People are stupid and short-sighted;
2) #1 repeated for emphasis;
3) Voting is largely non-rational and is based primarily on identity and how you feel things are going at the moment (not on how you think the other side would do)--and this is a FEELING, it is usually not data based;
3) polls much more than 90 days out from the actual election are actually kind of shite, because they lack the same context and events may play out in unexpected ways.
Polls have lost whatever value they once had. Does anyone, except the media, actually give a damn about them? Their questions are meaningless in any real context, tend to biased one way or another, and, whether they admit it, people lie. I've gotten a few in the mail and barely managed to resist the temptation to troll them. Instead, I ignore them.
I have worked with polling in the past (both creating and interpreting them). They still have value. The problem is that most people do not really understand polling and the media tends to misuse polling, compounding the error.
It would be better if they did not whip out a poll to support a point or argument. Polls aren't REALLY intended for that--they don't present that type of data in most cases unless very constrained and carefully constructed.
When voters are the type that think Trump should be tried for treason, but they would still vote for him over Biden...we are in dark territory. I would go back to bed, but I just made it so don't want to mess it up...
I gave up making the bed - the chihuahua kept messing it up. It's actually cold here in the desert today. :-)
My cats just refuse to move from their comfy spot...I have given up and just pull the comfoter up and not disturb them...lol
The chihuahua has started sleeping on the bed when I'm not home. :-) The 15-yr-old dachshund just sleeps under layers of blankets in his bed. I doubt he knows if I'm gone!
One of mine , sleeps on it during the day...the other doesn't always...pets, ya gotta love them...lol