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RAB's avatar

Half of the American electorate has lost their collective minds. Neither Trump nor RFK Jr are qualified to manage a convenience store, yet collectively they will garner over 50 million votes in November.

May god have mercy on our souls.

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The Silver Symposium's avatar

If I've said it once, I'll say it again: the Democratic consultants that look at RFK and go 'he's a Democrat and a liberal' are the same ones that thought Bloomberg would be a great presidential candidate to run against Trump. It's absurd on its face if you step outside of the bubble and actually, you know, look at the state of play.

The idea that RFK is 'more of a Bernie guy' is insane. Bernie Sanders is, if nothing else, a die hard true believer in what he preaches and has been for decades. He's a figure almost tailor made for a certain segment of millennials; a perennially uncool figure who was doing public access shows and awkward memes that translated seamlessly into the 'uncool is cool' vibe that plenty of us understood circa 2008-2016.

RFK is not that. The Kennedy name means nothing to anyone under forty, except as the name of a president who's biggest accomplishment in the minds of school children was that he was assassinated. Obviously, that's not true, Kennedy was a great president that got us through the Missile Crisis, but the reality is that the Kennedy name means nothing personal to anyone who would be in the Bernie cohort. The Bernie bro stereotype is specific, not vague; it's younger, professional, disillusioned people who dislike things like political dynasties. It's why he made a challenge to Clinton, after all. To give you an idea of how little the name really means, I had to look up the name of Ted Kennedy, because he died a year after I gained the ability to vote, and despite being the second longest serving man in congress in history, I can't tell you a single thing he did.

The logic behind the idea that RFK is a liberal spoiler goes like this: 'he's a disruptive force to an electorate looking for change.' Except, I cannot think of a single thing that signals change less than to run on name recognition of one of the country's former most prominent dynasties. If you're older, then the Kennedy name is most certainly not a change, and if you're young, the Kennedy name is relegated to history books and events long before you were born. It is not, in any way, the kind of change that the electorate wants, anymore than a Hillary Clinton run would be.

And all of this is without talking about the fact that he's drinking out of the same well as Candice Owens and every other conspiracy theorist. The reality is that in modern America, on the internet, all the worst people find each other because all of them are trying to recruit each other into whatever thing they're most into. As a result, there are no out there liberals that are separate from out their conservatives; the people who think that there are jewish space lasers are drinking from the same pool of info and listening to the same people as the people who think aliens built pyramids, who are right there with the weirdo anti-vax people, who are right there with the people who think that reptilians live among us.

The truth is, if you're into any conspiracy content, you're drinking from the same koolaid as all the others, in the same way that if you join Amway, you'll very quickly be pitched every other MLM. If you join on crypto project, you'll be pitched a thousand others, because all of these spheres are filled with people who understand that the best people to recruit to their cause are the people who basically believe what they do but are somewhere else.

RFK is not someone who is going to steal lots of votes from Biden, at least not his core. His share among liberals are the low information, low likelihood to vote people who have that single trait in common with Bernie bros. Running against the system sounds good until you need to use the system to put you into power. Meanwhile, RFK's information ecosystem is filled with much more diehard GOP types, from Ben Shapiro to Candice Owens, who are happy to promote everything from vaccines being microchip plots to the idea that the government is going to steal your guns and trade your wife for a blue haired single trans blm member.

In other words, his biggest threat to Trump is that he'll come off as more 'real' than Trump, more of a 'true believer' than Trump. Trump's whole pitch is that he's 'real' and that he 'tells it like it is' and that he 'says things other people don't want you to hear.' And that all evaporates when someone even crazier shows up that says even crazier things and posits that maybe Trump isn't actually the truth teller you think he is.

Sure, RFK was a Democrat at one point. But he has nothing in common with Democratic voters or the current party. All the people who might have been Democrats in his vein, the ones afraid of things like DEI and BLM and a million other acronyms, have already become Republicans, because the GOP isn't so much 'conservative' in the old vein as it is a set of grievances about how it's not 1950 anymore. In that vein, RFK fits right in as an old guy past his prime who wants to talk about the good old days to people who miss seeing children with polio.

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