
Pretty Good President, Not-So-Good Candidate
Plus: Mid-Ukraine victory lap, Biden says he still wants to address the border.
The New York Times on the grim realities of Trumpās trial timetables: āIn immunity case, Trump can lose in ways that amount to a winā:
Most legal experts say that former President Donald J. Trump will face deep skepticism at the Supreme Court on Thursday, when the justices will hear arguments on his claim that he is absolutely immune from prosecution on charges of plotting to subvert the 2020 election.
Mr. Trump would prefer to win, of course. But there are, from his perspective, at least two attractive ways to lose.
SCOTUS might take its sweet time deciding the case. It might also remand certain immunity-related questions back to a lower court, which would push the timeline for his federal election-interference trial back farther still.
In other cheerful Times headlines this morning: āHarvey Weinsteinās conviction is overturned by New Yorkās top court.ā Happy Thursday.

Pretty Good President, Not-So-Good Candidate
Lots of news the past few daysāTrump court cases, mobs on campus, abortion legislation in Arizona, political struggles within both parties. But by far the biggest news, the most important news, is that Congress finally passed the long-delayed emergency national security package, including aid for Ukraine. The legislation had overwhelming support from Democrats. Congressional Republicans were divided.
President Biden spoke about its significance Wednesday morning:
At the end of the day, most of usāwhether weāre Democrats, Republicans, or independentsābelieve that America must stand up for what is right. We donāt walk away from our allies; we stand with them. We donāt let tyrants win; we oppose them. We donāt merely watch global events unfold; we shape them. Thatās what it means to be the indispensable nation. Thatās what it means to be the worldās superpower and the worldās leading democracy.
Some of our MAGA Republicans reject that vision. But this vote makes it clear: There is a bipartisan consensus for that kind of American leadership. Thatās exactly what weāll continue to deliver.
Watching Bidenās remarks yesterday morning at the White House was an important reminder that heās providing pretty competent and responsible leadership in a new and difficult world.
Itās important that heās basically doing the right thing, in Europe and the Middle East and Asia. Itās impressive he was able to secure bipartisan support in a bitterly polarized political environment. Itās reassuring that polls show the American public remain much closer to the view of America as the indispensable nation than to Trumpās new and dangerous version of America First. So far, so good.
Then Biden headed out from the White House to a routine campaign event in D.C. He shouldnāt have.
Taking the stage to accept the endorsement of the North Americaās Building Trades Unions, Biden gave a standard and uninspiring partisan stump speech, consisting of conventional Democratic talking points interspersed with some disjointed shots at Trump. Then, after inviting the crowd to chant, āFour more years,ā Biden read aloud from the teleprompter the stage direction, āPause.ā
No big deal, really. But plenty of news coverage, overshadowing the national-security win that would otherwise have been the big Biden story of the day. Itās a reminder of the fact that while Biden is a pretty good president, heās not a particularly good candidate.
I understand all the pressures on Biden to get out and campaign. But perhaps he and his staff should do more to resist those pressures? The routine campaign events add little to his message, and present opportunities for things to go wrong. And in fact they detract from the gravity of the moment, a gravity Biden had explained well that morning at the White House.
Stay in the Oval Office. Govern the nation. Highlight your deeds as president. Explain what youāve done and what youāre doing. Explain why the alternative the other party is offering is so dangerous. But avoid in public some of the petty and uninspiring party politics.
Of course, of course: Donāt be unaware of politics. (Not that thatās likely.) So in private, think politically. But govern presidentially.
āWilliam Kristol
Now Do the Border
President Biden sounded one regretful note in his Ukraine-aid signing speech: āThereās one thing this bill does not do: border security. Just this year, I proposed, negotiated, and agreed to the strongest border-security bill this country has ever, ever, ever seen. It was bipartisan. It should have been included in this bill. And Iām determined to get it done for the American people.ā
Up at the site this morning, Iāve got a piece arguing that āBiden is smart to keep the border-security pressure onā:
Congressional Republicans, egged on by Donald Trump, turned up their nose at the packageās border provisions. Naturally, they couldnāt admit that they rejected it because they were ordered to do so. Instead they kvetched that the bill would not bring the number of border crossings magically down to zero. Any bill that fell short of that ideal, House Speaker Mike Johnson scoffed at the time, āwould be surrender.ā
It was a ridiculous ask. Immigration hardliner Donald Trump never got border crossings anywhere near zero despite wielding sweeping emergency border-shutdown powers during a global pandemic; how could Republicans consider that their line-in-the-sand negotiating position? You could almost believe they would actually rather not strike any border deal with Biden at all. . . .
But it was one thing to make this case in the context of a complex deal including multiple tranches of foreign aid. Under those circumstances, Republicans could pooh-pooh any border deal as simply not being strict enough to outweigh their opposition to other parts of the packageāto wit, more aid to Ukraine. The phrase We shouldnāt prioritize Ukraineās border over our own has become something of an America First mantra, repeated endlessly by MAGA presidential candidates, Senate candidates, and senators.
Well, now Ukraineās out of it. Biden has called for border-security legislation on its own, not linked to Ukraine aid. What excuses will Republicans concoct this time for spurning the offer? Will they have the temerity to respond the same way againāto claim that they would rather, as the saying goes, let the perfect be the enemy of the good?
āAndrew Egger
Catching up . . .
Harvey Weinsteinās conviction is overturned by New Yorkās highest court: New York Times
Meadows, Giuliani, and other Trump allies charged in Arizona 2020 election probe: Washington Post
RFK Jr. may be hurting Trump more than Biden, polls show: Axios
Arizona House votes to repeal 1864 abortion ban with help of three Republicans: ABC News
TikTok plans lawsuit to block U.S.ās divest-or-ban legislation: Variety
Poll: America warms to mass deportations: Axios
Quick Hits
1. Gaza Protest Tensions Continue
Itās a big week for large-scale campus clashes: Police arrested dozens of pro-Palestinian protesters at the University of Southern California, the University of Texas at Austin, and Bostonās Emerson College yesterday and early this morning. Hereās the Times:
University administrators from Texas to California moved to clear protesters and prevent encampments from taking hold on their own campuses as they have at Columbia University, deploying police in tense new confrontations that already have led to dozens of arrests.
At the same time, new protests continued erupting in places like Pittsburgh and San Antonio. Students expressed solidarity with their fellow students at Columbia, and with a pro-Palestinian movement that appeared to be galvanized by the pushback on other campuses and the looming end of the academic year.
Protesters on several campuses said their demands included divestment by their universities from companies connected to the Israeli military campaign in Gaza, disclosure of those and other investments and a recognition of the continuing right to protest without punishment.
āA recognition of the continuing right to protest without punishmentā is an important phrase here. The āRECLAIM OUR SPACEā event organized by UT-Austinās Palestinian Solidarity Committee deliberately mirrored the campus āoccupationsā at other colleges: āIn the footsteps of our comrades at Columbia SJP, Reuters-New Brunswick, Yale, and countless others across the nation, we will be establishing THE POPULAR UNIVERSITY FOR GAZA,ā their social media post proclaimed.
2. How Trump Will Defend Himself
Kim Wehle has the latest on Trumpās New York trial:
GOING INTO THE FOURTH DAY of Donald J. Trumpās trial on 34 counts of falsifying business records in the first degree, thereās a lot weāve already learned. David Pecker, former publisher of the National Enquirer and former CEO of its parent company, testified that in August 2015 he met with Trump and fixer Michael Cohen at Trump Tower where he says he was asked āwhat I can do and what my magazines could do to help [Trumpās 2016] campaign.ā Pecker says he agreed to be the āeyes and earsā of the campaign. This opening testimony was critical to the governmentās case for two reasons.
First, it introduced to the jury Trumpās knowledge of and complicity in the ācatch-and-killā scheme that allegedly produced the $130,000 payment to adult film start Stormy Daniels in the lead-up to the 2016 election in order to keep her quiet about a claim that she had sex with Trump. This is important because the Manhattan district attorneyās office must prove for each count that Trump had an intent to defraudāthat is, the requisite mens rea (Latin for āguilty mindā), which is often a key dividing line between conduct that is criminal and could deprive someone of liberty if convicted, and conduct that is not.
Second, Peckerās testimony put before the jury that the reason for the $130,000 payment was Trumpās presidential campaign. It wasnāt concern over personal embarrassment or the future of Trumpās television career or the possibility of upsetting his wife, Melania Trump. This is important because the governmentās theory of the case is essentially that Trump committed a crime within a crimeāthat he falsified business records with an intent to commit another crime, or with an intent to aid or conceal the commission of another crime. For the D.A., the inclusion of the secondary crime is what elevates misdemeanor offenses for falsifying business records to felonies.
It was literally one month ago where you wanted Biden to be out and about. And now you want him to not be out and about. Can you make up your mind, Bill? Or are we in for 6 months of flipping back and forth on what you think Biden should do. Since the SOTU, Biden has been more visible and engaged and his poll numbers have gone up. Honestly, there is no way to have your cake and eat it too.
Biden's newsworthy gaffe was reading one word aloud on the teleprompter. I'm eager to read dozens of NYT articles explaining why this shows Biden's weakness, but Honest Don falling asleep in his trials is proof of his manly take-charge strength!