Charlie, please stop citing national polls, like Monmouth. All those polls mean is that whoever is ahead will win the popular vote - IF the vote were held today. The only polls that matter are the state polls of the first four primaries, IA, NH, NV and SC, and the swing states.
Charlie, please stop citing national polls, like Monmouth. All those polls mean is that whoever is ahead will win the popular vote - IF the vote were held today. The only polls that matter are the state polls of the first four primaries, IA, NH, NV and SC, and the swing states.
Serious question: for either party, does Iowa really matter? Not exactly a nomination bellwether for Republicans of late, and not good on multiple measures on the Democratic side in 2020.
This year it only matters for the GOP primary. (Yes, Biden lost both IA & NH and went on to win the nomination, but that was an anomoly driven by Dems' fear that neither Bernie nor Pete B could beat Trump. That was the all important goal.) From what I hear from my favorite political pundits and hacks (Mike Murphy, a Republican strategist and his lifelong friend and Dem strategist David Axelrod) if Trump wins IA and NH, the primary is over. If he loses IA and wins NH - more likely - then NV and SC results will determine the winner.
Charlie, please stop citing national polls, like Monmouth. All those polls mean is that whoever is ahead will win the popular vote - IF the vote were held today. The only polls that matter are the state polls of the first four primaries, IA, NH, NV and SC, and the swing states.
Serious question: for either party, does Iowa really matter? Not exactly a nomination bellwether for Republicans of late, and not good on multiple measures on the Democratic side in 2020.
This year it only matters for the GOP primary. (Yes, Biden lost both IA & NH and went on to win the nomination, but that was an anomoly driven by Dems' fear that neither Bernie nor Pete B could beat Trump. That was the all important goal.) From what I hear from my favorite political pundits and hacks (Mike Murphy, a Republican strategist and his lifelong friend and Dem strategist David Axelrod) if Trump wins IA and NH, the primary is over. If he loses IA and wins NH - more likely - then NV and SC results will determine the winner.