
Greetings from Aspen, where Iām attending the Ideas Festival. (And yes, it is staggeringly beautiful here.)
Fair warning: this is likely to be the first of several attempts to address the many ways our world has been upended by the Supreme Courtās Dobbs decision. So donāt expect it to answer everything⦠because there are a lot of questions.
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Before we dive in, I have to tell you a story.
When I was a 19-year-old college student, with few if any significant life skills, I got my 18-year-old girlfriend pregnant. I will spare you the details.
The pregnancy, however, could not have come at a more awkward time; it meant that our educational plans would have to be scrapped. No graduate school for me; no undergraduate degree for her.
Worse, we were utterly unprepared and unsuited in every possible way for parenthood. And I am not engaging in any sort of false modesty when I tell you that my incapacity for fatherhood at that age cannot really be overstated. Emotionally, financially, and practically, I wasnāt prepared for what was about to happen.
I was an English literature major, which I enjoyed and where I learned quite a lot that has held me in good stead. But at the time, it was perhaps the most impractical degree imaginable; there was shockingly little interest among employers in my term papers on Paradise Lost. I was, in other words, utterly unemployable. Even in our contentious times, there was a broad consensus among would-be employers: Not Me.
So, by every rational, prudent, sensible, judicious standard in the world, it made no sense to go ahead. But we made a choice; and I fully understand that others may have made a different one.
And that choice was the most consequential of our lives.
My daughter is named Sandy and she is a beautiful and talented writer and artist. Her children ā my grandsons ā are named Elliott and Silas, and they are flying in from France for a visit in a few weeks to attend their uncle Alexās wedding and meet their two cousins ā Charlotte and Emilia (with a third on the way).
Decades ago, two stupid, incautious teenagers created whole worlds.
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I need to tell this story to put what follows in context.
I spent the next 40+ years very much a part of the pro-life movement. For well over a decade, I was the regular master of ceremonies of Wisconsin Right to Lifeās annual dinner. For nearly 50 years I was allied with the folks who are now celebrating their victory in the Supreme Court.
So where am I? How do I feel today about the demise of Roe v. Wade?
The short answer: itās complicated.
As a legal matter, I shared RBGās view that Roe itself was poorly decided, and had hoped that it might be modified, or even overturned, without tearing apart the constitutional right of privacy. But the radicalism of the majorityās decision in Dobbs shouldnāt be glossed over for conservatives; nor its lack of prudence and compassion for the real-world consequences of ripping out a law that millions had relied upon for 50 years. The courtās ruling plunges a fateful (and deeply personal) choice into the cauldron of the culture war at a moment of maximum demagoguery, extremism, disinformation, and bad faith.
I find myself in special sympathy with Chief Justice John Roberts, who wrote, āBoth the Courtās opinion and the dissent display a relentless freedom from doubt on the legal issue that I cannot share.ā
Roberts tried to caution his colleagues against making sweeping and abrupt changes in settled law. āA thoughtful Member of this Court [Justice Felix Frankfurter] once counseled that the difficulty of a question āadmonishes us to observe the wise limitations on our function and to confine ourselves to deciding only what is necessary to the disposition of the immediate case.āā
And America ā including the pro-life movement ā is not ready for the consequences.
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I still believe that every birth is a miracle and that we should regard every human life as infinitely precious. That means that every abortion is a tragedy and a lost world.
But over time I also came to believe that the movementās focus needed to shift from coercive legislation to addressing the fundamental choice that women had to make under often harrowing circumstances. The widespread use of ultrasound changed the debate, by giving shape and a face to the unborn. But if we were ever to create a culture of respect, that meant changing hearts and minds ā rather than criminal statutes. It also meant taking seriously a more holistic approach to a culture of life, which Catholics refer to as the āseamless garment.ā That meant addressing crisis pregnancies with compassion and support, as well as strengthening pro-family, pro-child policies that tipped the scales toward choosing life ā as we did more than 40 years ago.
But as you have undoubtedly noticed, the record of the pro-life movement has been, at best, shaky, even before the toxic transformation of our politics.
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I still think of myself as pro-life, but like my colleague Mona Charen, Iāve changed my attitude toward the movement itself, because Iāve lost my trust in the judgment and good faith of many of my former colleagues. A movement that should have celebrated compassion, yoked itself instead to a politics that celebrated performative cruelty. (Not to mention the many āpro-lifersā who embraced bizarre anti-vax conspiracy theories that have cost hundreds of thousands of lives.)
So I share David Frenchās conflicted reaction. In his weekend newsletter, he reviews his decades of work on behalf of the pro-life movement
Through it all, I was guided by two burning convictionsāthat Roe represented a grave moral and constitutional wrong and that I belonged to a national Christian community that loved its fellow citizens, believed in a holistic ethic of life, and was ready, willing, and able to rise to the challenge of creating a truly pro-life culture.
I believe only one of those things today.
To be sure, some conservatives (even Marco Rubio) have recognized the need for pro-lifers to embrace pro-child policies. Others have tried to create an infrastructure for post-Roe families. These efforts need to be extended and expanded.
But it seems naĆÆve to think that the pro-life GOP will suddenly pivot toward creating the kinds of help that young mothers will need. Just look at a map with an overlay of abortion bans with the lack of prenatal care and Medicaid expansion.
Unfortunately, the states with the most draconian bans will be the least likely to also pass legislation that enhances the social safety net of programs for children and families.
So instead of a renewed reverence for life, post-Roe America will be even more bitterly polarized. In recent years, our debates over everything from masking to race have become more shrill and tribal. Litmus tests overwhelm reason, and rage drowns out prudence.
And now, out of some great cosmic karma, we get to do abortion. The results are already ugly. As French writes:
In deep-red America, a wave of performative and punitive legislation is sweeping the land. In the abortion context, bounty-hunting laws in Texas, Idaho, and Oklahoma turn citizens against each other, incentivizing lawsuits even by people who havenāt been harmed by abortion. The pro-life movement, once solidly against prosecuting women who obtain abortions, is now split by an āabolitionistā wing that would not only impose criminal penalties on mothers, it even calls into questions legal protections for the life of the mother when a pregnancy is physically perilous.
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Because the arc of the right now bends toward perpetual outrage and escalation, it will only get worse. We shouldnāt look for either compromise or restraint. The GOP will be far more passionate about attempting to ban abortion pills than they about expanding child tax credits or parental leave laws. The party is already shape-shifting from supporting statesā rights, to pledging to enact a sweeping national ban. Donāt be surprised when purists object to 15-week bans (if its murder, why allow it at all?), or appear indifferent to crises like ectopic pregnancies.
Nor should you be surprised if the focus of punitive legislation turns toward women. Consider this remarkable proposal touted by the Heritage Foundationās Jay Richards. (Richards is the William E. Simon Senior Research Fellow in Heritageās DeVos Center for Religion and Civil Society.)
The āreally thoughtful proposalā?
The authors point out the inconsistency of considering abortion murder, but not sanctioning women themselves. āWe donāt want to criminally prosecute women who illegally abort,ā they write. āNor do we want to shrug and wink, as if women were all hapless victims, or abortion werenāt really a monstrous crime, as it is.ā
Their idea? To treat women āwho illegally abort the way we treat failed suicides.ā
Women wonāt go to prison. But they will face the real deterrent of a short but mandatory psychiatric custody, and mandated counseling. God willing that will prove helpful to women after the devastating destruction that is abortion. By treating abortion as legally equivalent to attempted suicide, it will recognize and honor the life of the child.
Itās the best we can do, in this fallen world. And itās not a political suicide pill.
(Yes, forcing women into āmandatory psychiatric custodyā would indeed be a āpolitical suicide pill.ā)
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And then we get to the larger issue of privacy. Iāve written a book on the subject, so Iāll have a lot more to say on this later.
We should actually be grateful that Clarence Thomas highlighted the larger implications of rejecting a constitutional right of privacy, While Justice Samuel Alito went to considerable pains to distinguish abortion from other issues like contraception, criminalized sodomy, and same sex marriage, Thomas went there:
Writing in a separate concurrence, Thomas declared that with Roe overturned, the Supreme Court should now āreconsiderā a host of other major cases predicated on the 14th Amendmentās implication of a right to privacy, including recent rulings that protected the right to contraception and same-sex marriage.
āIn future cases, we should reconsider all of this Courtās substantive due process precedents, including Griswold, Lawrence, and Obergefell,ā Thomas wrote, referring to Supreme Court rulings that legalized contraception access, sex between two people of the same gender and same-sex marriage. āWe have a duty to ācorrect the errorā established in those precedents.ā
In future newsletters, I hope to make the case that conservatives should not follow Thomas into this black hole by rejecting privacy. For the moment, Thomas stands alone.
But weāve been warned.
Quick Hits
Roeās End and the Phony Doctrine of āPotential Lifeā
Make sure you read Will Saletan in todayās Bulwark:
The justicesā critique of Roeāthat the right to abortion isnāt specified in the Constitution and isnāt ādeeply rooted in this Nationās history and traditionāāalso applies to the putative constitutional rights to contraception, gay sex, and same-sex marriage. In his concurrence, Thomas essentially admits this. āWe should reconsider all of this Courtās substantive due process precedents, including Griswold, Lawrence, and Obergefell,ā he writes. He advocates āoverruling these demonstrably erroneous decisions.ā
Alito and Thomas have already challenged the right to same-sex marriage using the same arguments they now make against the right to abortion. Nine years ago in United States v. Windsor, Alito, joined by Thomas, wrote that āthe Constitution does not guarantee the right to enter into a same-sex marriage.ā He added that āthe right to same-sex marriage is not deeply rooted in this Nationās history and tradition.ā The two justices repeated those points in their Obergefell dissent and again, just two years ago, in a statement against judicial protection of same-sex marriage and other āatextual constitutional rights.ā
If Alito, Thomas, and their colleagues want to go back to a world where the Supreme Court guarantees only those rights specified in the Constitutionāor even if they just want to roll back the doctrine of substantive due process, as Thomas proposesāthatās a defensible, intellectually consistent position. Theyāre free to argue that any right not named in the Constitution is fair game for legislation. Whatās not defensible is pretending that this rollback applies only to abortionāand basing that pretense on a distinction invented by Roe itself.
But the key to your story, Charlie, is that you CHOSE. You and your girlfriend CHOSE to continue with her pregnancy. Picture that exact same scenario, two reckless, unprepared teenagers, with the regime now sanctioned by the court and the Republican legislatures: the state tells you that you MUST. Forcing a woman who doesn't wish to be pregnant to continue to be pregnant, to subject her to the physical arduousness that is pregnancy and childbirth - for the state to compel her to that is monstrous.
There is not, and will never be, a culture of life on the right, and the reason for this is simple: there was nothing stopping them from creating one BEFORE roe was overturned. Roe didn't stop them from granting care for new mothers, it didn't stop them from offering resources or aid to those who wanted to start families. Nothing about Roe stopped them from actually creating this supposed 'culture of life' that they claim they want. But they didn't do it, because they don't actually want it.
As for the 'rubio plan' it's a trojan horse. Telling mothers to take three months out of their social security for the first three months after a child is born is not aid. Making a mother work three extra months when she's 65 so she could care for a newborn is not a boon to the mother. That's not a culture of life, that's a culture that says 'well, the child is less important than making sure you actually work for that retirement.'
Nevermind that bans now create a great deal of questions that the right does not wish to answer. If abortion is murder, then it's first degree premeditated capital murder. In which case, that's 25 to life in most places, and in some cases, carries the death penalty. The question is, if a mother has an abortion, should we hang her, is now a question that needs to be asked in states that have the death penalty.
The truth of the matter is this: regardless of whether you hated abortion or thought it was a moral evil, removing roe and criminalizing it does not and never would create a better world for anyone. It wasn't great for mothers before roe was created, and it's not going to be better after.
And none of this even touches on the question of things like what to do in cases of rape or incest. One can argue, 'well, the child did nothing wrong.' But then we get back into the traditional theoretical debate of 'if you woke up one day and were suddenly medically attached to someone who would die if you removed yourself, are you morally required to keep yourself attached to them, despite the fact that you did not desire to be in that position?'
Reality is, this is not going to result in anything but dead women. And everyone knows this.